Deutsche Bank AG was one of the few firms surveyed by Bloomberg in January to correctly predict the worst rout in the U.S. Treasury market since 2009. Now, Germany's largest lender says it's time to buy.

"The economy isn't growing as strongly as we'd hoped," Dominic Konstam, the New York-based global head of interest-rate research at Deutsche Bank, said in a telephone interview on Oct. 28, one day before a measure of U.S. consumer confidence plunged by the most in more than two years.

Given up for dead less than six months ago by Bill Gross, who oversees the world's biggest bond fund at Pacific Investment Management Co. (Pimco), the three-decade bull market in debt is showing renewed strength as indicators such as retail sales and jobs growth falter. Last week, a Citigroup Inc. index showed that U.S. economic data began to fall short of analysts' estimates for the first time in three months.

Complete your profile to continue reading and get FREE access to Treasury & Risk, part of your ALM digital membership.

  • Critical Treasury & Risk information including in-depth analysis of treasury and finance best practices, case studies with corporate innovators, informative newsletters, educational webcasts and videos, and resources from industry leaders.
  • Exclusive discounts on ALM and Treasury & Risk events.
  • Access to other award-winning ALM websites including PropertyCasualty360.com and Law.com.
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.