Commercial insurance prices increased by 5% in aggregate in2013's third quarter, says Towers Watson, but the risk consultantforecasts the hardening trend will taper.

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Data from the Towers Watson Commercial Lines Insurance PricingSurvey (CLIPS), obtained from 43 insurers representing about 20% ofthe U.S. property and casualty commercial-insurance market, showsthe Q3 increase follows 11 consecutive quarterly price hikes.

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However, aggregate pricing dropped by a point since the sameperiod last year.

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Prices increased by about 6% from the second quarter of 2011 tothe second quarter of 2012. The rate of increase stayed flat atabout +6.5% through this year's second quarter, but then dropped byabout a point by the third quarter of 2013.

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“This hard market is somewhat different from hard markets wehave experienced before,” says Tom Hettinger, Towers Watson'sP&C sales and practice leader for the Americas.

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“Carriers are taking rate, which is logical, as they focus onmeasuring the capital required to support the business rigorouslyand realistically, and adjust their return expectationsaccordingly.”

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Employment practices liability experienced the largestyear-over-year price increase.

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Price increases across all lines were smaller compared to theprior quarter, except for EPL. Mid-market accounts had higher priceincreases than large and small commercial accounts, and specialtylines prices increased at a lower rate than standard lines.

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Loss ratios are “benign,” says Hettinger, as the change inearned loss ratios between accident years 2012-2013 have fallen byabout 6%, a 1.5% improvement since the Q3 2011-Q3 2012 reportingperiod.

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Still, says Hettinger, “the explicit recognition of risk,whether in the form of investment yield, inflation risk orcatastrophe exposure, seems to be leading to much more disciplinedpricing decisions.”

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