When it comes to deflation, there's the good—and there's the bad and ugly.
Europe faces the risk of the latter as it teeters on the edge of a recession that could trigger a debilitating dive in prices and wages. The U.S., meanwhile, may end up with the more benign version as surging oil and gas supplies push energy costs down and the economy ahead.
"Bad deflation weakens growth," Nancy Lazar, co-founder and a partner at Cornerstone Macro LP in New York, wrote in a report to clients this month. "Good deflation lifts growth." Lazar also co-founded International Strategy & Investment Group LLC more than 20 years ago.
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