U.S. companies are issuing bonds at the fastest pace ever. Andinvestors say the Federal Reserve's next rate hike may do little tochange that.

|

Investment-grade companies are on track to complete the busiestfirst quarter for debt sales since at least 1999. Firms from AppleInc. to Morgan Stanley have pushed new issues to more than $360billion so far in 2017, closing in on the previous record of $381billion from 2009, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Thatputs bond sales 17% ahead of last year's record pace.

|

Low borrowing costs, rising stock prices, positive economic dataand strong quarterly earnings results have all helped fuel theboom, said Dominic Pappalardo, a money manager at McDonnellInvestment Management, which manages $11.5 billion. The extrayield over Treasuries investors demand to purchase the bondshas reached multi-year lows in recent weeks, even ascompanies such as Delta Air Lines Inc. to Walt Disney Co. havesold more than $77 billion of bonds to investors so far inMarch.

|

“Until you see anything change from the economics standpoint orthe fundamentals standpoint, I expect corporations to continue toissue for as long as they can at these tight spreads,” Pappalardosaid. “They probably should lock it in while they can.”

|

High-yield bond offerings have also roared back after a plungein commodity prices muted new issues last year. Junk-ratedcompanies have sold more than $71 billion in 2017 through Monday,compared with $41.7 billion in the first quarter of 2016.

|

Companies seeking to get ahead of Wednesday's near-certain ratehike from the Federal Reserve and an expected blizzard in theNortheast on Tuesday sold more than $18 billion of bonds Monday,led by an $11 billion offering from Verizon Communications Inc.

|

Low Cost

Despite the onslaught of supply, investors are asking for just1.16 percentage points more than government debt to holdinvestment-grade bonds, according to Bloomberg Barclays index data.That's down from 1.22 percentage points at the beginning of theyear. High-yield bond spreads have declined to 3.78 percentagepoints above Treasuries, compared with as much as 3.95 percentagepoints in January.

|

Although the Fed is poised to raise interest rates 0.25percentage point at the conclusion of its March 14 to March 15meeting, a hike of that magnitude is unlikely to deter corporateborrowers, Pappalardo said. Borrowing costs are still low, with theaverage blue-chip company bond yielding 3.48 percent on Friday,Bloomberg Barclays Index data show. That compares with the 30-yearaverage of 5.97 percent.

|

Still, the Fed's path to raising interest rates is beginning tostoke concerns among some traders. About 40% of investors surveyedby Bank of America Merrill strategists in March now expect that thehiking cycle may send spreads wider, up from 23% in January. Andhalf of the investors called investment-grade spreads overvalued inMarch, compared with 14% in January. Eighty-five percent of junkbond investors said spreads look overvalued.

|

“We're at this inflection point where spreads probably will notgrind too much tighter,” said Dan Heckman, a fixed-incomestrategist at U.S. Bank Wealth Management, which oversees $139billion. “We've been on this incredible run. I'm not sure we're ata point where the market is compensating investors for all therisk.”

|

Bloomberg News

|

Copyright 2018 Bloomberg. All rightsreserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten,or redistributed.

Complete your profile to continue reading and get FREE access to Treasury & Risk, part of your ALM digital membership.

  • Critical Treasury & Risk information including in-depth analysis of treasury and finance best practices, case studies with corporate innovators, informative newsletters, educational webcasts and videos, and resources from industry leaders.
  • Exclusive discounts on ALM and Treasury & Risk events.
  • Access to other award-winning ALM websites including PropertyCasualty360.com and Law.com.
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.