The British pound has more in common with the Colombian peso andthe Polish zloty than you may think.

|

The rollercoaster ride in the exchange rate over the pastweek—spurred by the latest twists and turns in the Brexitnegotiations—underscores a mounting similarity to anemerging-market currency this year, if volatility is anything to goby.

|

At 9%, the pound's realized swings against the dollar over thepast 12 months have outpaced all developed-market peers, accordingto data compiled by Bloomberg.

|

The currency is the eighth-most volatile across major emergingand advanced economies, ranking alongside exchange rates fromeastern Europe and Latin America. The only otherdeveloped-market currency in the top 10 is the New Zealand dollar,which was rocked by concern of an economic slowdown after theLabour Party unexpectedly won enough support to form a governmentin elections in October.

|

“The Great British Pound now trades like an emerging marketcurrency,” tweeted Jim Leaviss, head of retail fixed interest atPrudential's M&G Investments, and contributor to the popularBond Vigilantes blog.

|

Trading in the euro, the Canadian dollar and the Swiss franc hasbeen far calmer by comparison, with realized volatility against thegreenback over the past year at 7.5%, 7.4% and 7.1%,respectively.

|

British investors can take solace, however, in the fact that thepound is not likely to suffer the same vulnerability to globalshifts in sentiment as its emerging-market peers.The pound'scorrelation with an index of developing-economy exchangerates—which jumped in the Brexit-vote tumult—has tumbled over thepast year.

|

Sterling may be volatile, but at least it's following its ownpath.

|

From: Bloomberg News

|

Copyright 2018 Bloomberg. All rightsreserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten,or redistributed.

Complete your profile to continue reading and get FREE access to Treasury & Risk, part of your ALM digital membership.

  • Critical Treasury & Risk information including in-depth analysis of treasury and finance best practices, case studies with corporate innovators, informative newsletters, educational webcasts and videos, and resources from industry leaders.
  • Exclusive discounts on ALM and Treasury & Risk events.
  • Access to other award-winning ALM websites including PropertyCasualty360.com and Law.com.
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.