The most accurate foreign-exchange forecasters say the euro will slide as austerity-driven spending cuts from Spain to Italy reignite debt turmoil and drag the region into recession.
Nick Bennenbroek, head of currency strategy at Wells Fargo & Co., who topped the list for the fourth time out of the past six quarters according to data compiled by Bloomberg, expects the euro to drop more than 5 percent to $1.24 at the end of 2012. Westpac Banking Corp., which had the second-lowest margin of error, predicts $1.26.
The euro's biggest quarterly gain in a year will prove fleeting. The economy faces "downside risks" amid rising Spanish and Italian borrowing costs, European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said on April 4. The benefits of record ECB loans to local banks, which helped drive yields down from euro-era records, are fading and the region faces recession, while the U.S. expands at the fastest pace in two years.
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