In December, inflation cooled to the slowest rate of increase in more than a year, leading some to think the Fed will raise interest rates by just 25 bps late this month.
The labor shortfall that has troubled employers since the pandemic hit became even more acute last month, as more Americans dropped out of the workforce.
Tomorrow's U.S. Department of Labor jobs report might "put a stamp of confirmation" on indications that the economy is very resilient—and convince the Fed to initiate another 75 bps increase in interest rates.