China's policy shifts are a bigger driver of the selloff in emerging markets than the Federal Reserve's decisionto dial back stimulus, according to Goldman Sachs AssetManagement.

Volatility will rise toward its long-term average, and thatmeans an increase in risk premiums, said Philip Moffitt, head offixed income in Sydney for Asia and the Pacific at Goldman SachsAsset Management, which had $991 billion of assets undersupervision worldwide as of September. The risks for differentemerging economies will become more idiosyncratic and Mexicopresents a buying opportunity following the rout, he said.

Markets from Turkeyto South Africa and Argentina were roiled during the past month as investors soldoff emerging-economy currencies, stocks, and bonds, promptingemergency measures from governments and central banks. The bout ofrisk aversion follows the Fed's decision to scale back assetpurchases and China's pledge to rein in leverage and give market forces amore decisive role in allocating resources.

Continue Reading for Free

Register and gain access to:

  • Thought leadership on regulatory changes, economic trends, corporate success stories, and tactical solutions for treasurers, CFOs, risk managers, controllers, and other finance professionals
  • Informative weekly newsletter featuring news, analysis, real-world cas studies, and other critical content
  • Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
  • Critical coverage of the employee benefits and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.