Economy

Expert Opinion

Expect a ‘Decaffeinated’ Economy, but No Recession This Year

Emily Zulz |

J.P. Morgan Asset Management strategist David Kelly expects a first-quarter slowdown due in part to the government shutdown.
News

CFOs Were Turning Bearish Even Before the December Market Rout

Sarah Ponczek |

Proportion of CFOs who say they’re growing more optimistic fell by about half from Q3/2018 to Q4/2018.
News

Economists Turn to Shutdown-Proof Reports as U.S. Data Delayed

Katia Dmitrieva |

Economists and policymakers are “flying blind” as the federal government shutdown delays release of key economic indicators.
News

Brexit Talks Will Continue into 2019

Tim Ross, Robert Hutton, & Alex Morales |

Still hoping for more concessions from the EU, May will finally put the deal to a vote in the week of January 14.
News

U.S. CFOs Overwhelmingly Expect a Recession Within Two Years

Shobhana Chandra |

Corporate executives are considerably more pessimistic than economists.
News

OCC Is Worried About Leveraged Loans

Jesse Hamilton |

Fed’s warning on leveraged loans seconded by U.S. bank regulator.
News

Risky Corporate Debt Threatens U.S. Economy

Jesse Hamilton & Rich Miller |

Fed report predicts lenders would survive “elevated business bankruptcies and outsized losses” in junk bonds, but investors would suffer.
News

Trade Tensions Push CFOs’ Outlook to Worst in a Year

Sarah Ponczek |

“CFO optimism, while still strong, appears to be on the retreat amid concerns around global trade and interest rates.”
News

Mexico and Canada Optimistic on NAFTA Deal

Eric Martin & Daniela Guzman |

Economy ministers from the two countries expect “common sense” to prevail this fall in NAFTA re-negotiation.
News

Across the U.S., Wary Businesses Gird for a Trade War

Andrew Mayeda |

Some companies are boosting production in anticipation of tariffs. Others are scrambling to find new markets for perishable products and holding off on hiring and capital investments.

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