Economy

Analysis

What Will Cause the Next Debt Crisis?

Lisa Abramowicz |

We asked 10 leading analysts and investors for their thoughts on what could go wrong.
News

Echoes of 2007

Emily Barrett & Katherine Greifeld |

Treasuries buying wave triggers inversion that is a fairly reliable harbinger of recession within 18 months.
News

Most Economists See U.S. Recession by 2021

Alex Tanzi |

NABE survey shows 10 percent of members expect a recession to start this year, and 42 percent project a recession will start in 2020.
Expert Opinion

Expect a ‘Decaffeinated’ Economy, but No Recession This Year

Emily Zulz |

J.P. Morgan Asset Management strategist David Kelly expects a first-quarter slowdown due in part to the government shutdown.
News

CFOs Were Turning Bearish Even Before the December Market Rout

Sarah Ponczek |

Proportion of CFOs who say they’re growing more optimistic fell by about half from Q3/2018 to Q4/2018.
News

Economists Turn to Shutdown-Proof Reports as U.S. Data Delayed

Katia Dmitrieva |

Economists and policymakers are “flying blind” as the federal government shutdown delays release of key economic indicators.
News

Brexit Talks Will Continue into 2019

Tim Ross, Robert Hutton, & Alex Morales |

Still hoping for more concessions from the EU, May will finally put the deal to a vote in the week of January 14.
News

U.S. CFOs Overwhelmingly Expect a Recession Within Two Years

Shobhana Chandra |

Corporate executives are considerably more pessimistic than economists.
News

OCC Is Worried About Leveraged Loans

Jesse Hamilton |

Fed’s warning on leveraged loans seconded by U.S. bank regulator.
News

Risky Corporate Debt Threatens U.S. Economy

Jesse Hamilton & Rich Miller |

Fed report predicts lenders would survive “elevated business bankruptcies and outsized losses” in junk bonds, but investors would suffer.

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