Economy

Analysis

New York Fed Has a Black Swan Hunter

Craig Torres |

The Applied Critical Thinking (ACT) unit is tasked with poking holes in the most basic assumptions the central bankers make.
Analysis

Corporate CFOs Are Behaving Defensively

Robert Burgess |

Despite the soaring stock market, many corporate finance teams seem to be battening down the hatches.
News

Economic Growth Looking Uncertain

Katia Dmitrieva & Justin Sink |

Departing economic adviser to the president sees risk to reaching Trump's goal of GDP growth above 3%.
News

U.S. Economic Growth Rebounding

Emily Zulz |

The uptick in the leading indicators shows that growth has rebounded a bit after a very slow start to the year.
Analysis

What Will Cause the Next Debt Crisis?

Lisa Abramowicz |

We asked 10 leading analysts and investors for their thoughts on what could go wrong.
News

Echoes of 2007

Emily Barrett & Katherine Greifeld |

Treasuries buying wave triggers inversion that is a fairly reliable harbinger of recession within 18 months.
News

Most Economists See U.S. Recession by 2021

Alex Tanzi |

NABE survey shows 10 percent of members expect a recession to start this year, and 42 percent project a recession will start in 2020.
Expert Opinion

Expect a ‘Decaffeinated’ Economy, but No Recession This Year

Emily Zulz |

J.P. Morgan Asset Management strategist David Kelly expects a first-quarter slowdown due in part to the government shutdown.
News

CFOs Were Turning Bearish Even Before the December Market Rout

Sarah Ponczek |

Proportion of CFOs who say they’re growing more optimistic fell by about half from Q3/2018 to Q4/2018.
News

Economists Turn to Shutdown-Proof Reports as U.S. Data Delayed

Katia Dmitrieva |

Economists and policymakers are “flying blind” as the federal government shutdown delays release of key economic indicators.

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