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Ten years after the credit crisis, and with the Federal Reserve raising rates eight times since 2015, the end game is fast approaching. As the U.S. economy has strengthened, the effect of rate increases on the yield curve has been uneven, resulting in speculation about prospects for a yield-curve inversion. Macroeconomic factors like trade policy, emerging-markets volatility, and quantitative easing in Europe further complicate the landscape.

Everyone seems to have a view about the future, although which view is prevailing changes regularly. One thing is clear, however: Further rate increases are very likely. We don’t know how many, for how long, or what their effect on the yield curve may be. However, corporate treasury and finance professionals can use scenario analysis and simulations to assess the impact of the Fed’s interest rate end game.

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