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Analysis

The Most Promising Emerging Markets of 2019

5 economies that offer foreign firms stable growth, friendly business conditions, and abundant opportunities across multiple sectors.

By Dana Bodnar | May 08, 2019 at 01:23 PM

The global economy faces some serious headwinds this year, coming in the form of trade policy uncertainty, oil price volatility, monetary policy missteps by major players, and the economic slowdown in China. These headwinds are expected to cause turbulence for many countries, but especially for emerging markets.

All that said, some emerging markets remain fertile for business opportunities. According to a recent report from trade credit insurer Atradius, the most promising emerging markets in 2019 are Bulgaria, Indonesia, Vietnam, Peru, and Morocco. Indonesia, Vietnam, and Morocco also appeared on our 2018 list of promising emerging markets.

To be considered “promising,” a market must demonstrate steady, accelerating growth in gross domestic product (GDP) fueled by private consumption and fixed investment. It must also show resiliency against global headwinds in the form of sufficient external buffers and a flexible exchange rate. Increasing trade diversification is a positive indicator, as are the presence of dynamic domestic markets, particularly in manufacturing, infrastructure, and more consumer-oriented sectors—and a broad and growing middle class.

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