X

Thank you for sharing!

Your article was successfully shared with the contacts you provided.

This can’t last forever, but does it need to end just yet? That’s the question facing economists as they take a final look at 2006′s combination of solid growth, surging corporate cash and profits with an eye on prospects for 2007. Broadly speaking, economists predict a slowdown in all three, but opinions vary widely on how sharp a deceleration to anticipate. According to the December Blue Chip Economic Indicators report, the consensus of 54 economists calls for gross domestic product growth of 2.4% in 2007, the slowest expansion since 2002. That compares with the estimated 3.3% for 2006. The group predicts a substantial slowdown in corporate profit growth–5% in 2007 versus the heady 19.8% in 2006. “The two biggest drags on the economy for the last couple of quarters have been the recession in housing and in automotive,” says Randell Moore, executive editor of the Blue Chip Economic Indicators. Whether those sectors contract further will be key for how much of a slowdown the nation experiences. As for the outlook for recession, the consensus placed the odds at a low 28% for the coming 12 months. Treasury & Risk has asked three Wall Street economists to spotlight the factor that they believe will be most influential: Paul Kasriel from Northern Trust Co., Milton Ezrati from Lord Abbett & Co. and Stephen Stanley from RBS Greenwich Capital.

Dig Deeper

Treasury & Risk

Join Treasury & Risk

Don’t miss crucial treasury and finance news along with in-depth analysis and insights you need to make informed treasury decisions. Join Treasury & Risk now!

  • Free unlimited access to Treasury & Risk including case studies with corporate innovators, informative newsletters, educational webcasts, and resources from industry leaders.
  • Exclusive discounts on ALM and Treasury & Risk events.
  • Access to other award-winning ALM publications including PropertyCasualty360.com and Law.com.

Already have an account? Sign In Now
Join Treasury & Risk

Copyright © 2019 ALM Media Properties, LLC. All Rights Reserved.