Greece has a 98 percent chance of defaulting on its debt in thenext five years as Prime Minister George Papandreou fails toreassure investors his country can survive the euro-regioncrisis.

“Everyone's pricing in a pretty near-term default and I thinkit'll be a hard event,” said Peter Tchir, founder of hedge fund TFMarket Advisors in New York. “Clearly this austerity plan is notworking.”

It costs a record $5.8 million upfront and $100,000 annually toinsure $10 million of Greece's debt for five years usingcredit-default swaps, up from $5.5 million in advance on Sept. 9,according to CMA. Greek bonds plunged, sending the 10-year yield to25 percent for the first time.

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