It's almost as if bond traders and economists are watchingdifferent versions of Janet Yellen's testimony to Congress thisweek.

Traders are taking the Federal Reserve chair's comments over thepast two days—that the labor market market isn't fully healed andinflation is too low—as confirmation that the Fed is very unlikelyto raise interest rates in the first half of the year. Economists,including UBS Group AG's Drew Matus and JPMorgan Chase & Co.'sMichael Feroli, saw in her message reasons to reaffirm their callsfor the first increase to come by June.

But there's a third view about how Yellen's testimony applies tothe bond market, as expressed by Jim Bianco, the founder of BiancoResearch LLC in Chicago: It doesn't really matter.

Continue Reading for Free

Register and gain access to:

  • Thought leadership on regulatory changes, economic trends, corporate success stories, and tactical solutions for treasurers, CFOs, risk managers, controllers, and other finance professionals
  • Informative weekly newsletter featuring news, analysis, real-world cas studies, and other critical content
  • Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
  • Critical coverage of the employee benefits and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.