Bank of England Governor Mark Carney says easier monetary policy may be needed to help a slowing economy in the wake of the U.K.'s vote to leave the European Union. This response is straight from the handbook of modern central banking—a favorite with the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan, and just about every other central bank. But it might be the wrong reaction.
I argued last month that ever-lower interest rates might be destroying whatever faith businesses and consumers have left in the economic outlook. Cheap money keeps zombie companies alive, trapping capital in unproductive endeavors that would otherwise die. And negative interest rates are unprecedented, and look a lot like allowing doctors to experiment on their patients. The feedback I got suggested another compelling reason that higher rates might be a better approach: demographics.
If you look at the age balance of the global population between old and young people, the over-65s account for almost 9 percent of the total, a figure that's been rising steadily and has doubled since the start of the last decade. For the euro region, this cohort accounts for closer to 18 percent; in the U.S., more than 15 percent of the population is past standard retirement age, up from 12.5 percent a decade ago.
Continue Reading for Free
Register and gain access to:
- Thought leadership on regulatory changes, economic trends, corporate success stories, and tactical solutions for treasurers, CFOs, risk managers, controllers, and other finance professionals
- Informative weekly newsletter featuring news, analysis, real-world case studies, and other critical content
- Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
- Critical coverage of the employee benefits and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
Already have an account? Sign In Now
© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.