Après nous, le deleveraging? The rally in the U.S. dollar,coupled with seismic changes in the $2.7 trillion money-market fund(MMF) industry, is sparking a fresh bout of cross-borderdeleveraging, according to new analysis from CitigroupInc.

That's because a stronger dollar tends to pressure foreigncompanies that have borrowed in greenbacks, causing banks to cutdown on their international lending as risks in their corporateloan portfolios increase. Any pullback in cross-border lendingwould intensify concerns that the dollar rally sparked by DonaldTrump's win in the U.S. presidential elections could have aknock-on effect on economic growth around the world.

“Both MMF reform and deleveraging episodes are global growthnegative as they are both harmful for the end users of dollars,”warn Citi analysts led by Jabaz Mathai. “The shift in the U.S. froma monetary to a fiscal stimulus is conducive for dollarstrengthening which may carry into 2017.”

Continue Reading for Free

Register and gain access to:

  • Thought leadership on regulatory changes, economic trends, corporate success stories, and tactical solutions for treasurers, CFOs, risk managers, controllers, and other finance professionals
  • Informative weekly newsletter featuring news, analysis, real-world cas studies, and other critical content
  • Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
  • Critical coverage of the employee benefits and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, PropertyCasualty360 and ThinkAdvisor
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.