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"There's a strong argument for a half percent" interest rate cut when the Federal Reserve meets in mid-September. "It's going to be hotly debated."
"Now that inflation has come down and the labor market has indeed cooled off, we're going to be looking at both mandates. They're in much better balance."
Delinquencies are rising, executives are flagging caution among shoppers, and retail sales barely increased in May after falling in April.