In the Fed’s semi-annual report on U.S. financial stability, the second- and third-ranked concerns were escalating tensions in the Middle East and policy uncertainty.
If officials could know with confidence where the neutral rate of interest lay, they could just move there and declare victory. But it's not that simple.
"The vast majority observed that, if the data continued to come in about as expected, it would likely be appropriate to ease policy at the next meeting."
"The predominant risk at this point is that the softening in the labor market gains momentum and the economy tips into an unnecessary and unwanted recession."
Although U.S. interest rates are sitting at 23-year highs, the pockets of pain they are causing are nothing like the systemic problems that so often wrecked expansions in the past.
In remarks following today's FOMC meeting, Powell did not comment on whether rate cuts are likely this year, something he has said after prior meetings.