"The predominant risk at this point is that the softening in the labor market gains momentum and the economy tips into an unnecessary and unwanted recession."
Although U.S. interest rates are sitting at 23-year highs, the pockets of pain they are causing are nothing like the systemic problems that so often wrecked expansions in the past.
In remarks following today's FOMC meeting, Powell did not comment on whether rate cuts are likely this year, something he has said after prior meetings.
As markets prepare for interest-rate reductions in early 2024, the president of the Atlanta Fed said he expects cutting to begin in the third quarter, at the earliest.
"We will continue to move carefully, however, allowing us to address both the risk of being misled by a few good months of data and the risk of overtightening."