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Treasuries buying wave triggers inversion that is a fairly reliable harbinger of recession within 18 months.
NABE survey shows 10 percent of members expect a recession to start this year, and 42 percent project a recession will start in 2020.
J.P. Morgan Asset Management strategist David Kelly expects a first-quarter slowdown due in part to the government shutdown.
Proportion of CFOs who say they're growing more optimistic fell by about half from Q3/2018 to Q4/2018.
Economists and policymakers are “flying blind” as the federal government shutdown delays release of key economic indicators.
Still hoping for more concessions from the EU, May will finally put the deal to a vote in the week of January 14.
Corporate executives are considerably more pessimistic than economists.
Fed's warning on leveraged loans seconded by U.S. bank regulator.
Fed report predicts lenders would survive “elevated business bankruptcies and outsized losses” in junk bonds, but investors would suffer.
“CFO optimism, while still strong, appears to be on the retreat amid concerns around global trade and interest rates.”